{"id":53312,"date":"2025-10-08T10:18:28","date_gmt":"2025-10-08T16:18:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informante.mx\/?p=53312"},"modified":"2025-10-08T10:18:32","modified_gmt":"2025-10-08T16:18:32","slug":"trump-plantea-sustituir-al-t-mec-por-acuerdos-bilaterales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informante.mx\/?p=53312","title":{"rendered":"Trump plantea sustituir al T-MEC por acuerdos bilaterales"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Redacci\u00f3n Informante<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ante la posibilidad de un\u00a0retorno de Donald Trumpa la Casa Blanca, luego de la declinaci\u00f3n de Joe Biden\u00a0por repetir en la\u00a0carrera presidencial por Estados Unidos<\/strong>,\u00a0M\u00e9xico<\/strong>\u00a0enfrentar\u00e1 serios retos en la\u00a0relaci\u00f3n bilateral<\/strong>\u00a0en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, especialmente por las amenazas de aranceles a las importaciones de bienes manufacturados en territorio mexicano, de acuerdo con expertos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gustavo Uruchurtu,\u00a0panelista del T-MEC y ex negociador del TLCAN,<\/strong>\u00a0ve con preocupaci\u00f3n las recientes declaraciones de Trump en la\u00a0Convenci\u00f3n Nacional Republicana<\/strong>, donde amenaz\u00f3 con imponer\u00a0aranceles\u00a0<\/strong>de hasta 200 por ciento a los autom\u00f3viles el\u00e9ctricos fabricados en M\u00e9xico\u00a0por empresas chinas, as\u00ed como presionar a las\u00a0empresas automotrices a producir en EU<\/strong>\u00a0si quieren vender en el pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cEst\u00e1 preocupante lo que ha dicho Trump\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3 Uruchurtu, destacando la sensibilidad del sector automotriz<\/strong> y el super\u00e1vit comercial<\/strong> que M\u00e9xico mantiene con EU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El experto subray\u00f3 la iron\u00eda de que el T-MEC<\/strong>, considerado por Trump<\/strong> como \u201csu mejor tratado de comercio<\/strong>\u201d, ahora sea objeto de cr\u00edticas por parte del mismo pol\u00edtico que lo impuls\u00f3, anticipando posibles tensiones de cara a la revisi\u00f3n del tratado que est\u00e1 programada para 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tambi\u00e9n advirti\u00f3 sobre la necesidad de estar preparados para posibles intentos de renegociaci\u00f3n<\/strong>, especialmente en el sector automotriz<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cS\u00ed, creo que va a estar esta cuesti\u00f3n de los\u00a0autom\u00f3viles<\/strong>\u00a0sobre la mesa\u201d, afirm\u00f3 el especialista, comparando la situaci\u00f3n con las recientes medidas implementadas en el sector del acero\u00a0por\u00a0la administraci\u00f3n Biden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Desaf\u00edos futuros<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Uruchurtu anticip\u00f3 que la\u00a0Secretar\u00eda de Econom\u00eda de M\u00e9xico\u00a0<\/strong>tendr\u00e1 un papel crucial en la pr\u00f3xima\u00a0administraci\u00f3<\/strong>n y enfatiz\u00f3 la necesidad de una estrategia s\u00f3lida para enfrentar las\u00a0potenciales amenazas comerciales de Trump. \u201cCreo que le va a dar a la\u00a0Secretar\u00eda de Econom\u00eda<\/strong>\u00a0un protagonismo muy, muy importante\u201d, declar\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sobre el\u00a0nearshoring, el analista enfatiz\u00f3 que va m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la simple relocalizaci\u00f3n de empresas, pues explic\u00f3 que se trata de una\u00a0pol\u00edtica estrat\u00e9gica de EU<\/strong>\u00a0para\u00a0desarrollar industrias clave<\/strong>\u00a0como la de\u00a0veh\u00edculos el\u00e9ctricos, energ\u00edas limpias, semiconductores\u00a0<\/strong>y materiales cr\u00edticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cLa parte estrat\u00e9gica son estas industrias\u201d, afirm\u00f3, subrayando la importancia de estas cadenas de suministro para la\u00a0seguridad nacional estadounidense<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kenneth Smith, socio de la firma Agon,<\/strong>\u00a0indic\u00f3 que\u00a0las declaraciones de Trump\u00a0no deber\u00edan sorprendernos. \u201cEs Trump siendo Trump:\u00a0nacionalismo econ\u00f3mico, declaraciones sin fundamento econ\u00f3mico, y exageraci\u00f3n sistem\u00e1tica<\/strong>, adem\u00e1s de un \u00e9nfasis en la\u00a0utilizaci\u00f3n de los aranceles\u00a0como\u00a0herramienta de negociaci\u00f3n comercial<\/strong>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Smith destac\u00f3 la posici\u00f3n relativamente protegida de\u00a0M\u00e9xico y Canad\u00e1<\/strong>\u00a0gracias al\u00a0T-MEC<\/strong>, pues la ventaja que tienen los dos pa\u00edses es que hasta cierto punto est\u00e1n blindados en contra de las acciones unilaterales de EU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cLlegue quien llegue a la presidencia de EU, sabr\u00e1 que si impone barreras comerciales en contra de las\u00a0exportaciones mexicanas, se estar\u00eda dando un balazo en el pie porque M\u00e9xico puede imponer\u00a0represalias comerciales multibillonarias<\/strong>\u00a0en contra de las principales\u00a0exportaciones agr\u00edcolas y agroindustriales de EU\u201d, advirti\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sin embargo, Smith tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1ala que existe una\u00a0alta probabilidad<\/strong>\u00a0de que a Trump no le importen las\u00a0consecuencias econ\u00f3micas\u00a0<\/strong>de violar abiertamente el\u00a0T-MEC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Impacto en aranceles<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e9sar Hern\u00e1ndez, socio fundador de Publius Consultores, <\/strong>djio que el arancel <\/strong>de 10 por ciento que promete Trump ser\u00eda muy malo para las empresas mexicanas<\/strong> que exportan a EU<\/strong>, y el de 50 por ciento a China <\/strong>tambi\u00e9n tendr\u00eda un impacto para quienes importan, si se complementa con disposiciones que busquen evitar la triangulaci\u00f3n<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cPero si a M\u00e9xico, por ser parte de T-MEC, no le aplicar\u00e1 el arancel<\/strong> del 10 por ciento, entonces podr\u00edamos incluso ganar participaci\u00f3n de mercado en EU<\/strong>\u201d, indic\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Respecto a la revisi\u00f3n del T-MEC en 2026 con Trump en el poder, Hern\u00e1ndez advirti\u00f3 un escenario muy duro para M\u00e9xico por el\u00a0fuerte proteccionismo<\/strong>\u00a0y su poco inter\u00e9s en\u00a0mantener instituciones y reglas<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAunque como en toda crisis, M\u00e9xico podr\u00eda incluso salir beneficiado si logra excepciones favorables, mientras el resto del mundo no las logra\u201d, agreg\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Toda la informaci\u00f3n que necesitas saber la encuentras en nuestras <\/i>redes sociales y canal de <\/em><\/strong><\/strong>Telegram<\/em><\/strong><\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

!\u00danete!<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ante la posibilidad de un\u00a0retorno de Donald Trumpa la Casa Blanca, luego de la declinaci\u00f3n de Joe Biden\u00a0por repetir en la\u00a0carrera presidencial por Estados Unidos,\u00a0M\u00e9xico\u00a0enfrentar\u00e1 serios retos en la\u00a0relaci\u00f3n bilateral\u00a0en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, especialmente por las amenazas de aranceles a las importaciones de bienes manufacturados en territorio mexicano, de acuerdo con expertos. Gustavo Uruchurtu,\u00a0panelista del […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29435,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[40],"class_list":["post-53312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mundo","tag-mundo"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump plantea sustituir al T-MEC por acuerdos bilaterales - Informante.mx<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informante.mx\/?p=53312\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump plantea sustituir al T-MEC por acuerdos bilaterales - Informante.mx\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ante la posibilidad de un\u00a0retorno de Donald Trumpa la Casa Blanca, luego de la declinaci\u00f3n de Joe Biden\u00a0por repetir en la\u00a0carrera presidencial por Estados Unidos,\u00a0M\u00e9xico\u00a0enfrentar\u00e1 serios retos en la\u00a0relaci\u00f3n bilateral\u00a0en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, especialmente por las amenazas de aranceles a las importaciones de bienes manufacturados en territorio mexicano, de acuerdo con expertos. 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la posibilidad de un\u00a0retorno de Donald Trumpa la Casa Blanca, luego de la declinaci\u00f3n de Joe Biden\u00a0por repetir en la\u00a0carrera presidencial por Estados Unidos,\u00a0M\u00e9xico\u00a0enfrentar\u00e1 serios retos en la\u00a0relaci\u00f3n bilateral\u00a0en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, especialmente por las amenazas de aranceles a las importaciones de bienes manufacturados en territorio mexicano, de acuerdo con expertos. 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