{"id":52362,"date":"2025-09-09T11:06:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T17:06:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informante.mx\/?p=52362"},"modified":"2025-09-09T11:06:46","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T17:06:46","slug":"augura-hacienda-mas-crecimiento-en-2026-y-espera-deuda-en-mas-de-20-billones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informante.mx\/?p=52362","title":{"rendered":"Augura Hacienda m\u00e1s crecimiento en 2026 y espera deuda en m\u00e1s de $20 billones"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Redacci\u00f3n Informante<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico redujo su perspectiva de crecimiento para la econom\u00eda mexicana este 2025, mejor\u00f3 la de 2026, pero relaj\u00f3 su meta de d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico tanto para este a\u00f1o como el siguiente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En el primer paquete econ\u00f3mico \u00edntegramente dise\u00f1ado por la administraci\u00f3n de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, entregado anoche al Congreso, la dependencia redujo su previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento para 2025 a lo m\u00ednimo que esperaba apenas en abril, cuando calculaba un crecimiento de entre 1.5 y 2.3 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De acuerdo con los documentos entregados al Congreso, el rango de crecimiento para 2025 ya se modific\u00f3 por uno de 0.5 a 1.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los Criterios Generales de Pol\u00edtica Econ\u00f3mica \u2013que son el documento en el que Hacienda plasma sus principales supuestos sobre la econom\u00eda mexicana y global\u2013 contienen una mejor perspectiva para el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o. De una previsi\u00f3n de 1.5 a 2.5 por ciento anticipada en abril, ahora la dependencia elev\u00f3 a 1.8 a 2.8 por ciento el rango previsto para 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cEl Paquete Econ\u00f3mico 2026 es una propuesta de pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica orientada a garantizar programas de bienestar, salud, educaci\u00f3n y vivienda social, al tiempo que impulsa la actividad productiva mediante inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica en programas estrat\u00e9gicos que fortalezcan al Plan M\u00e9xico, bajo una visi\u00f3n de desarrollo basada en el bienestar y el humanismo\u201d, puntualiz\u00f3 la dependencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Heredera de un d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico que el a\u00f1o pasado lleg\u00f3 a 5.7 por ciento del PIB, la actual administraci\u00f3n hab\u00eda anticipado una reducci\u00f3n de esta brecha entre ingresos, gastos y obligaciones financieras para dejarla entre 3.9 y 4 por ciento del PIB este 2025 y entre 3.2 y 3.5 por ciento para el siguiente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ese escenario ya fue rebasado. Ahora Hacienda reconoce que el d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico en 2025 ser\u00e1 de 4.3 por ciento del PIB y en 2026 de 4.1 por ciento, se lee en los Criterios Generales de Pol\u00edtica Econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El mover esta m\u00e9trica fiscal provocar\u00e1 que el Saldo Hist\u00f3rico de los Requerimientos del Sector P\u00fablico \u2013la medida m\u00e1s amplia del endeudamiento\u2013 alcance 20 billones 259 mil 590.7 millones de pesos el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o, 3.6 por ciento m\u00e1s que en 2025 y equivalente a 52.3 por ciento del PIB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deuda para pagar deuda<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

En la iniciativa de Ley de Ingresos de la Federaci\u00f3n entregadas al Congreso, la dependencia pidi\u00f3 contratar deuda por un bill\u00f3n 472 mil 626.4 millones de pesos, para completar una bolsa de ingresos totales que suman 10 billones 193 mil 683.7 millones de pesos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta contrataci\u00f3n de deuda es la contraparte de las obligaciones que ya se arrastran y cuyo costo financiero alcanzar\u00e1 un bill\u00f3n 572 mil 73.3 millones de pesos, seg\u00fan la previsi\u00f3n de Hacienda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tambi\u00e9n como otro de los gastos ineludibles se cuentan las pensiones, que llegar\u00e1n a un bill\u00f3n 704 mil 200 millones de pesos. Ambos conceptos se cuentan por encima de lo presupuestado para inversi\u00f3n f\u00edsica, que de acuerdo con el paquete econ\u00f3mico ocupar\u00e1 960 mil 100 millones de pesos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Entre otras de las m\u00e9tricas m\u00e1s relevantes, la dependencia estima que al cierre de 2026 la inflaci\u00f3n cierre en 3 por ciento, el tipo de cambio en 18.9 pesos por d\u00f3lar y la tasa de inter\u00e9s en 6 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tambi\u00e9n prev\u00e9 que el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o caiga el precio promedio del petr\u00f3leo a 54.9 d\u00f3lares por barril, que la plataforma de producci\u00f3n avance a un promedio de un mill\u00f3n 794 mil barriles diarios y que la exportaci\u00f3n de \u00e9stos se reduzca a 521 millones diarios, en tanto la producci\u00f3n de privados pr\u00e1cticamente se duplique a 119 millones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Toda la informaci\u00f3n que necesitas saber la encuentras en nuestras <\/i>redes sociales y canal de <\/em><\/strong><\/strong>Telegram<\/em><\/strong><\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

!\u00danete!<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico redujo su perspectiva de crecimiento para la econom\u00eda mexicana este 2025, mejor\u00f3 la de 2026, pero relaj\u00f3 su meta de d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico tanto para este a\u00f1o como el siguiente. En el primer paquete econ\u00f3mico \u00edntegramente dise\u00f1ado por la administraci\u00f3n de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, entregado anoche al […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-52362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacional","tag-nacional"],"yoast_head":"\nAugura Hacienda m\u00e1s crecimiento en 2026 y espera deuda en m\u00e1s de $20 billones - Informante.mx<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informante.mx\/?p=52362\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Augura Hacienda m\u00e1s crecimiento en 2026 y espera deuda en m\u00e1s de $20 billones - Informante.mx\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico redujo su perspectiva de crecimiento para la econom\u00eda mexicana este 2025, mejor\u00f3 la de 2026, pero relaj\u00f3 su meta de d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico tanto para este a\u00f1o como el siguiente. 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